USHBC Texas Member Midterm Pulse

Survey | Hispanic Business Owner Sentiment
June 2, 2026 – June 15, 2026

United States Hispanic Business Council

Texas Member Survey | Hispanic Business Owner Sentiment

Field Dates

June 2, 2026 – June 15, 2026

Sample

n = 1,012 Texas Hispanic Business Owners

Source

USHBC Proprietary Member Polling Program

USHBC Texas Member Midterm Pulse | June 2026

Talarico leads Paxton 43% to 36% among Texas Hispanic business owners.

Finding 01

The Cornyn Coalition is Splitting Wide Open

Among Hispanic business owners who voted for John Cornyn in the primary, 54% have consolidated behind Paxton. Nearly a quarter have already moved to Talarico and the rest remain undecided.

bar graph image showcasing Cornyn primary voters now stand in Paxton Talarico Senate race
bar graph image showcasing Cornyn primary voters now stand in Paxton Talarico Senate race

That remaining 22% of a key Republican subgroup is large enough to decide the race either way.

Finding 02

One in Five Hispanic Owned Businesses Lost a Worker to Deportation This Year

Share of businesses in each industry reporting the loss of at least one employee to deportation in the past year.

Finding 03

Cost of Living Is the One Issue That Unifies the Room

Every other issue tracked, job creation, immigration, healthcare, preserving democracy, splits by at least 7 points along party lines. This one does not.

Bar graph Share who placed cost of living in their top 3 issues facing the country.
Bar graph Share who placed cost of living in their top 3 issues facing the country.

Share who placed cost of living in their top 3 issues facing the country.

Finding 04

Where the Race Will Actually Be Won

Talarico is leading self identified Independents by more than 30 points. Trump's endorsement is doing real work to hold the Republican base however, it's actively costing ground with the voters still deciding.

Survey Assets
Media Contact: Katherine Machado O'Hara


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